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Margin Debt on NYSE Stocks Over $350 Billion – Record Debt Brings New Warnings of Risks
Margin debt owed on stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange has surpassed $350 billion. This is up to $35 billion, or over 10%, in just one month. The jump in margin debt brings new warnings to investors concerning the risks of leveraged investments.
Traditional theories concerning the stock market include that small investors are always wrong. They jump into the market when it is near its highs and get out near the lows. There is both a guesstimate and empirical data to support this theory. One measure of investing by small investors is margin account debt. With the exception of hedge funds, most large investors do not use margin.
Considering this theory, the warnings are thus two-fold. Not only is high margin account debt an indicator of a market top, but margin investing can also be very dangerous. Margin debt amplifies losses and even a moderate drop in stock prices can cause forced liquidations. As well, the cost of margin interest exacerbates losses in leveraged accounts. Non-margined investors can wait for recovery without liquidation or enduring interest costs.
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